Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 25.946520 29.457957 33.288087 37.779034 42.904617 48.576937 55.337048
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.666037 26.420964 32.001984 39.048186 47.725110 58.084244 71.425801
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.618775 24.218369 31.241692 40.726740 53.248840 69.280067 91.466374
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.906922 21.971971 30.065014 41.708253 58.122874 80.576407 113.858750
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.149907 20.691939 29.951220 44.103297 65.355165 96.346532 145.454122
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.297294 18.969094 28.948905 45.098579 70.845874 110.751993 178.159401
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.394848 16.851915 27.022056 44.385217 73.672585 121.759603 208.079376
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.966054 15.235914 25.606548 44.239093 77.409404 134.974006 244.559829
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.134101 14.466201 25.448915 46.187102 85.106021 156.423202 300.297833
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.493679 13.920651 25.586836 48.695840 94.332768 182.493822 370.701422
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.728191 13.017603 24.930657 49.614452 100.762853 204.634537 438.643906
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.856621 11.766296 23.411055 48.571273 103.103390 219.161186 494.227258
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.055797 10.545221 21.796148 47.145842 104.623549 232.863550 552.805468
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.494197 9.724479 20.866677 47.029946 109.057921 254.086769 634.902315
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.071728 9.131321 20.324332 47.692315 115.484325 281.485731 740.031057
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.661784 8.496262 19.582730 47.759653 120.553201 306.907288 847.520561
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.416406 8.200634 19.573123 49.620429 130.599854 347.425300 1008.459374
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.113755 7.715346 19.028215 50.028641 136.977507 379.885776 1156.223812
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.759286 7.040694 17.899623 48.681584 138.285998 398.742996 1268.838834
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.487124 6.530733 17.103899 48.088479 141.639443 424.418548 1411.405169
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.346500 6.345558 17.135317 49.857709 152.463050 475.465123 1655.516773
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.241489 6.239966 17.367217 52.278262 165.933340 538.482024 1963.113336
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.084804 5.962137 17.067177 53.028777 174.284947 587.104672 2235.031260